A Sign of Market Correction

JohnSilver

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just slash prices across the board, I felt super lucky getting our big bend for 28k and 10k miles on it at the rate we did. Judging by the outlook we won't be seeing any cheaper rates until next year, probably higher as the year moves forward. Hope I'm wrong, but with that being said something's going to need to break, rates or prices.
 

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JohnSilver

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Will this also cause the dealerships to quit putting their ridiculous markups on them? ?
Some of these guys are commiting consumer level fraud with some of these mark ups. My advice to one is to always shop around the entire country, find a dealership not charging insane mark ups, guage their trustworthiness through communication, be willing to travel for the vehicle.
 


gatornek

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just slash prices across the board, I felt super lucky getting our big bend for 28k and 10k miles on it at the rate we did. Judging by the outlook we won't be seeing any cheaper rates until next year, hope I'm wrong but time will tell.
My gut (errrrr....hope) is that we are moving more towards a 'customized order' model, where dealerships are phased out. I think used car prices will fall off a cliff fairly soon, but new models will continue to hold weight, but pricing will definitely level out. The thought by many is that, where as before dealership inventory was so overflowing, you could always get in and out of a car as you pleased, but usually taking a HEAVY HIT each time doing so (the old adage of a car loses %15 of its value the moment you drive off the lot). Now, vehicles will be more expensive, but more customized, and have the ability to hold value more. The 'downside' is you can't just show up at a dealer and find the exact model, with the exact options, in the exact color you want, on the lot. The thought is that people should stay in their vehicles longer. That's Jim Farley's thoughts, anyway.
 

gatornek

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Some of these guys are commiting consumer level fraud with some of these mark ups. My advice to one is to always shop around the entire country, find a dealership not charging insane mark ups, guage their trustworthiness through communication, be willing to travel for the vehicle.
I live in Miami, and had to go all the way to north West Palm Beach (a solid hour and a half in normal traffic), bypassing many, many dealerships, to find one that wouldn't bait and switch me.

I've had the same "email-all-dealerships-and hammer-out-an-agreed-upon-price-first" protocol for the last twenty years and about 5 or 6 car purchases between my wife and I. I never had to travel that far to find an honest one.
 
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JohnSilver

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My gut (errrrr....hope) is that we are moving more towards a 'customized order' model, where dealerships are phased out. I think used car prices will fall off a cliff fairly soon, but new models will continue to hold weight, but pricing will definitely level out. The thought by many is that, where as before dealership inventory was so overflowing, you could always get in and out of a car as you pleased, but usually taking a HEAVY HIT each time doing so (the old adage of a car loses %15 of its value the moment you drive off the lot). Now, vehicles will be more expensive, but more customized, and have the ability to hold value more. The 'downside' is you can't just show up at a dealer and find the exact model, with the exact options, in the exact color you want, on the lot. The thought is that people should stay in their vehicles longer. That's Jim Farley's thoughts, anyway.
Yes part of the reason I wanted a bronco sport besides price was the notion it would offer customization options and continued support for that. Time will tell. But there is something truly satisfying about working on and adding to your own vehicle.
 

Bronclahoma

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Ford had already put a rebate the F150 Lightning, even have one on F150's. This says that neither are flying off the lots. I read that dealers have a 100 day of the F150 e's. Should have around a 60 day supply. Keep in mind these are small numbers. Ford's actions suggest that demand is declining for F150's.

Ford states that they have ramped up production which produced more scale and can sell cheaper. They are currently losting $3B annually on electrics. If they cut their prices, give big rebates and don't sell more, they are going to lose even more.

I suspect the price drops were in response to competition by GM, Rivian and now Tesla. Both Ford and GM have bet big on electrics and I think it will be a losing bet for quite some time.
 
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BourbonRunner

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I paid MSRP for ours 2 weeks ago, but I expected it with a Heritage Limited since Yellowstones were about as rare as hen's teeth. Of the 30+ Ford dealers within a 100 mile radius only 3 showed inbound vehicles a month ago when we settled on it. There aren't any factory options available aside from colors so the decision was relatively easy.

One was inbound to a large local large dealer. I know someone in their corporate, he put me in touch with the sales manager at the store. Sales manager was all too happy to work with me but then went radio silent. No response, no contact. Not the way to handle things. I may have gotten a friends/family break on the pricing but there's no way to tell.

Another Ford store tried to hit me with a $2500+ "Market adjustment" right out of the gate. I told the salesman to kick rocks. I wasn't paying a premium for jack squat. That became a game of "well, if you're going to title in Maryland we can sell it as MSRP." Gee, thanks. Go to hell.

The one we bought from was no-nonsense and a large, high volume dealer. Salesman was young and stupid, finance guy was not the worst I've dealt with but the end of the day they had the truck, we paid MSRP and I got a 2.9% for 60 months. Call that a win.

Moral of the story is the dealership model is outdated, hackneyed, and if the dealers continue to play their games then they'll go the way of the dodo, and none too soon. My only concern is that the order method will limit options for what I can bundle together and the lag time could create a FOMO on special financing and rebate promotions unless, for example, FoMoCredit moves to lock a rate at the time of order.
 


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Mark S.

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I suspect the price drops were in response to competition by GM, Rivian and now Tesla. Both Ford and GM have bet big on electrics and I think it will be a losing bet for quite some time.
I agree. ICE-equipped F-150s and SUVs are already subsidizing sales of Ford's EVs. I believe the decision to cease production of sedans was driven primarily by Ford's foray into the EV market. It was already subsidizing sedan sales with it's truck and SUV sales; it knew it couldn't subsidize both sedans and EVs.
 

Bucko

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AmazingSieve

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Someone waking up to the fact not everyone is ready to jump on the EV bandwagon?
I think it’s getting to the point where the people who’ve wanted an EV have or can get one they can afford. Meanwhile many other people are still buying ICE. Or as the person below me mentions, the premium for buying one still may be prohibitive. Obviously a combination of factors effecting this.

And I often hear the EV crowd say everyone can and should own one, even if you’re often going on road trips etc but the simple fact EVs on long distance drives inconvenience you in a way ICE doesn’t.

I think EVs are great for commuting though and they do seem to excel in that capacity but they simply aren’t to the point yet where they’re competitive with ICE for road trips or if you do buy an EV for long drives you’re accepting the trade offs as a price up pay for some principal you have.

There’s also resale considerations as well. Concerns about battery packs etc…Far from the panacea the EV crowd wants them to be but again if I needed a car for commuting, yea I’d get one.
 
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CODIY

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Someone waking up to the fact not everyone is ready to jump on the EV bandwagon?
At least not at the prices as they stand. When they initially debuted at 40K for the base model, it didn't seem too outrageous. The rapid increase in price, as well as not allowing the base to be eligible for the extended range hurt their sales. I certainly decided I was priced out, and for a truck that I was excited to have to haul things and hop into dirty, the base seemed ideal with vinyl seats and rubber floors. An extended range would have relieved my range anxiety for using the truck for our annual beach trip. Having to step up to a nicer interior for 20K more than that initial 40K, and then add another 15K on top of it for the extended range? No longer interested.

EV F-150 price? ridiculous!
Exactly. I think it would have made much more sense for them to have introduced an EV Maverick rather than F-150. The smaller truck would not have required as large a battery to get a decent range, and if it could have been priced lower, it would have had a broad appeal. Plenty of people who use their trucks for actual work have smaller trucks rather than the foreman monsters. A long bed option on the Maverick would also most likely sell well (I know that would mean creating a new platform, so not really feasible). But what I don't get is trying to compete against your best selling truck with an overpriced EV version if you are trying to sell in volume

The thought is that people should stay in their vehicles longer.
I agree with this thinking. Especially for the moderately expensive cars. It seems like it is getting to the point where a moderately expensive used car is still too expensive for most of the used car buyers, and those that have the money to afford them are opting to buy new for nearly the same prices.
 

BourbonRunner

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Exactly. I think it would have made much more sense for them to have introduced an EV Maverick rather than F-150. The smaller truck would not have required as large a battery to get a decent range, and if it could have been priced lower, it would have had a broad appeal. Plenty of people who use their trucks for actual work have smaller trucks rather than the foreman monsters. A long bed option on the Maverick would also most likely sell well (I know that would mean creating a new platform, so not really feasible). But what I don't get is trying to compete against your best selling truck with an overpriced EV version if you are trying to sell in volume
Agreed- but the weight of the battery packs is substantial and might not have worked with the Maverick's lightweight chassis. Consider the F150 Lightning tips the scales at over 8200lbs (!!!) and the 3.5L EcoBoost SuperCab F150 weighs in at just over 5K lbs. That's a ton and a half MORE for effectively the same sized vehicle. Imagine if Ford was still using steel instead of aluminum...

Regarding staying in their vehicles longer: I either dump it after a couple or keep it until it's no longer financially viable to maintain.

I will not be told by Ford or any other company that I "should keep my car longer." It's my money, I will spend it how I please.
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