- First Name
- Mark
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- Oct 30, 2021
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- St. Jacob, IL
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- 2021 Badlands | 2020 Escape
Most people are really bad at that kind of probability math. I'm old enough to remember the arguments made against wearing seatbelts. The most common was a person had heard about someone getting thrown clear of a vehicle during an accident, which was deemed preferrable to being "trapped" inside a burning wreck. It was rare for anyone to take the time to find out how many people thrown clear of a car survived the experience, or how many cars actually burst into flames following an accident. Anyone who watches movie and television knows, of course, that you have exactly three seconds to get out of a car after a collision, because that's how long it takes for them to explode.Think long and hard about those odds before you ever buy any third party extended warranty.
For an interesting thought experiment, look into the Monty Hall paradox. It's a true mind bender for anyone not familiar with the science of probability.
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